Good evening. The S&P 500 ended the week down +0.5%. Here are the top stocks to watch this week, and what’s moving the markets.

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Top Stocks & Setups To Watch This Week

• $RBLX
Break below 59.14 🎯 55.98 & 52.65
• $WFC
Break above 74.16 🎯 75.65 & 77.03
• $NFLX
Break above 973.69 🎯 990.92 & 1016.35
• $PLTR
Break above 91.91 🎯 99.01 & 106.91
• $V
Break below 334.77 🎯 328.51 & 323.56
• $MSFT
Break above 396.89 🎯 409.98 & 419.31

KV’s S&P 500 Levels

Weekly Market Recap

Fed Holds Steady

The Fed held rates steady at 4.25%–4.5% for the second straight meeting, signaling caution amid slowing growth and rising tariff risks. It lowered the 2025 growth outlook to 1.7% and raised inflation projections to 2.7% due to expected short-term price pressures from tariffs. The Fed also announced slower balance sheet runoff starting in April, and while rate cuts are still anticipated, policymakers are waiting for more certainty before acting.

Diversification Pays Off

As U.S. stocks dip, diversified portfolios are seeing strength from international stocks and bonds. European and Chinese equities are outperforming, aided by falling U.S. dollar and supportive global policy shifts. Bonds are also rising as yields drop, with investment-grade and emerging-market debt leading the way. This rotation in market leadership highlights the value of maintaining balance across regions and asset classes.

Economy Slows

Economic data shows momentum easing, with the LEI falling in February and consumption softening. However, jobless claims remain low, wage growth is healthy, and industrial production rose strongly, driven by autos. These trends suggest a cooling economy—not a contraction. We expect further support from lower rates and pro-growth policies, and believe manufacturing recovery and labor strength will help drive growth in the second half of 2025.

Coming Up…

Important economic releases this week include consumer confidence and PCE inflation. On the earnings front, OKLO, GME, LULU, KULR, and CHWY are expected to report this week.

Key Headlines We’ve Been Reading

This is what’s caught our eye over the past 7 days.

• Trump tariffs live updates: Trump suggests 'flexibility' as 'Liberation Day' nears for reciprocal duties.
• Big tech stocks at cheapest in months fail to entice wary buyers.
• Bridgewater’s main macro fund surges 11.3% amid market swings.
• Cheap Chinese cars are taking over roads from Brazil to South Africa.
• Musk tells Tesla employees hang on to stock after 50% plunge.

Trading Quote Of The Week

That was it for this week!

Stay safe,
KV 👋

Week #12 | March 23, 2025

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