Good evening. The S&P 500 ended the week down -2.6%. Here are the top stocks to watch this week, and what’s moving the markets.

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Top Stocks & Setups To Watch This Week

• $CVX
Break above 137.27 🎯 139.52 & 142.10
• $ROKU
Break below 68.78 🎯 65.20 & 60.93
• $AMD
Break above 112.09 🎯 116.10 & 119.83
• $AMZN
Break below 197.85 🎯 193.06 & 186.27
• $TSLA
Break above 351.62 🎯 367.34 & 388.39
• $COIN
Break above 271.95 🎯 291.55 & 298.11

KV’s S&P 500 Levels

Weekly Market Recap

Markets Hit Pause

After a nearly 20% rally, investor momentum slowed due to rising bond yields, Moody’s U.S. credit downgrade, and the passage of a major tax bill in the House. The bill, which now heads to the Senate, extends Trump-era tax cuts and adds new ones, likely pushing deficits higher. Meanwhile, long-term Treasury yields rose past 5%, signaling growing concern about U.S. debt levels.

Debt & Treasuries

Moody’s downgrade highlights long-standing fiscal concerns, but won’t trigger forced selling. Higher yields reflect investor caution, but also global rate shifts and adjusted Fed cut expectations. Despite rising deficits, Treasuries remain the world’s go-to safe haven. Investors should consider locking in longer-term yields while diversifying portfolios across asset classes.

Tariffs Risk

Late-week threats of steep new tariffs on the EU and Apple reminded investors that trade remains a core market driver. With key tariff pauses expiring this summer and the debt ceiling back in focus, volatility could resurface. Still, the recent rally suggests that peak fear may be behind us. Stay diversified, use dollar-cost averaging, and watch for long-term opportunities.

Coming Up…

Important economic releases this week include consumer confidence and PCE inflation. On the earnings front, NVDA, MRVL, CRM, COST, and AI are expected to report this week.

Key Headlines We’ve Been Reading

This is what’s caught our eye over the past 7 days.

• Europe 'shocked' as Trump hands Putin 'win'.
• Fed officials throw cold water on hopes of a summer interest rate cut.
• Senate advances a major crypto regulation bill on a bipartisan vote.
• Dimon warns of US stagflation risk, says Fed right to hold.
• China’s lithium city is a front line of the battery trade war.

Trading Quote Of The Week

That was it for this week!

Stay safe,
KV 👋

Week #21 | May 25, 2025

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