Good evening. The S&P 500 ended the week down -0.4%. Here are the top stocks to watch this week, and what’s moving the markets.

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Top Stocks & Setups To Watch This Week

• $TSLA
Break above 335.50 🎯 355.40 & 367.71
• $COIN
Break above 247.75 🎯 260.42 & 270.10
• $CAT
Break below 352.26 🎯 344.92 & 336.24
• $JPM
Break above 269.52 🎯 278.74 & 281.13
• $DKNG
Break above 36.20 🎯 35.05 & 34.08
• $AFRM
Break above 61.05 🎯 62.98 & 65.49

KV’s S&P 500 Levels

Weekly Market Recap

Steady Economic Growth

Despite tariff and trade concerns, the U.S. economy has held firm in early 2025. GDP growth is tracking above 3% for Q2, thanks to stable consumer spending and a healthy labor market. Job gains remain steady, unemployment is low, and wage growth is outpacing inflation. With contained CPI and PPI numbers, inflation appears manageable, helping offset trade-related risks.

Trade War

Stock markets rebounded over 20% after earlier declines, reflecting stronger fundamentals and easing tariff fears. Trade negotiations with China are progressing, and the July 9 deadline may be extended for key partners. While higher tariffs may impact goods pricing, the U.S. service-based economy remains more insulated. We expect modest growth and no recession in the near term.

Policy Watch Ahead

Geopolitical risks and upcoming policy moves could add volatility. The Israel-Iran conflict lifted oil prices briefly, but history shows such shocks are usually short-lived. The U.S. tax bill could boost corporate sentiment in 2026, and the Fed may cut rates if growth slows. Overall, we remain constructive on the second half, favoring balanced portfolios with a tilt toward large- and mid-cap U.S. stocks.

Coming Up…

Important economic releases this week include retail sales data and the Fed meeting. No important earnings results are expected to be reported this week.

Key Headlines We’ve Been Reading

This is what’s caught our eye over the past 7 days.

• China Forced to Keep Unprofitable Firms Alive to Save Jobs and Avoid Unrest.
• Billionaire Bill Ackman Wants to Be the Next Warren Buffett.
• BYD Unleashes an EV Industry Reckoning That Alarms Beijing.
• China Taps $1.5 Trillion Fund to Boost Housing Market Support.
• Morgan Stanley Widens Net to Land $5 Billion Debt for Musk’s xAI.

Trading Quote Of The Week

That was it for this week!

Stay safe,
KV 👋

Week #24 | June 15, 2025

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