Good evening. The S&P 500 ended the week down -1.7%. Here are the top stocks to watch this week, and what’s moving the markets.

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Top Stocks & Setups To Watch This Week

• $COIN
Break above 242.87 🎯 259.69 & 279.18
• $GOOGL
Break above 188.20 🎯 192.75 & 197.67
• $PLTR
Break below 95.80 🎯 90 & 83.74
• $TSLA
Break above 361.53 🎯 380.55 & 394
• $AMD
Break below 110.16 🎯 107.56 & 104.14
• $AAPL
Break below 244.11 🎯 239.59 & 233.85

KV’s S&P 500 Levels

Weekly Market Recap

Tech Stocks Struggle

After leading the market in 2024, mega-cap technology stocks have struggled in 2025, with only two of the Magnificent 7 outperforming the S&P 500. Extended valuations, trade uncertainties, and a broadening earnings cycle have shifted leadership to financials, energy, and health care. With 10 of 11 S&P 500 sectors positive, we expect continued outperformance in large and mid-cap growth and value stocks.

Treasury Yields Stabilize

After surging to 4.8% in early January, the 10-year Treasury yield has settled around 4.5%. This stability is due to contained inflation, potential government cost-cutting, and signs of slowing economic growth. Lower-than-expected retail sales and cautious corporate guidance have raised the odds of Fed rate cuts. We anticipate yields to stay range-bound, with the Fed possibly considering one or two cuts if the labor market weakens.

Europe Outperforms

European stocks have outpaced U.S. markets, with the EuroStoxx 50 up 13% YTD versus the S&P 500’s 4%. A weaker U.S. dollar, stronger eurozone economic data, and optimism over a Russia-Ukraine settlement have supported the rally. However, sustaining this momentum is uncertain, and we expect U.S. equities to outperform long-term as structural growth advantages persist.

Coming Up…

Important economic releases this week include PCE inflation and a read on consumer confidence. On the earnings front, NVDA, FUBO, SNOW, AI, RIOT, DELL, CRM, MARA, AMC, and HD are expected to report this week.

Key Headlines We’ve Been Reading

This is what’s caught our eye over the past 7 days.

• DeepSeek drives $1.3 trillion China stock rally as funds pile in.
• Musk debuts Grok-3 AI chatbot to rival OpenAI, DeepSeek.
• Argentina’s crypto scandal dings Milei, involves strange mix of characters.
• New dynasty on Wall Street as Cantor Fitzgerald’s Howard Lutnick puts sons in top roles.
• Germany's far-right AfD is shut out from power for now, but waiting in the wings.

Trading Quote Of The Week

That was it for this week!

Stay safe,
KV 👋

Week #8 | February 23, 2025

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